The state in Ukraine The Russian invasion began almost unchanged. Almost all of them contended with one another for the same opinion. The problem is that several years have passed between then and now Ukraine remember with greater rage to bear arms, as every day The problem in Russia is not from the side of the allies.
Join NATO. I won’t do it for the first time or probably the last time. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy once again strongly advocated for areas of Ukraine under the Kyiv government could be under the protection of the customer to stop the active period of the war. However, he stressed every invitation to membership Ukraine should be recognized in all its borders internationally recognized, even the territories occupied by Russia.
The approach, although hypothetical, is intended a pattern similar to that of West Germany during the Cold Warwhere it was divided dividing the country.
Criteria under that scenario. Zelenskyy declared that he would seek Ukraine under this plan to recover the occupied territoriesbut through diplomatic instruments. Although willing to consider international policies, the president emphasized that he will not accept the decision that the Russian government is legitimate in any part of the territory of Ukraine.
According to him, without the protection of NATO, Ukraine would remain vulnerable to new attacks from Russia; as was done after the Budapest Memorandum of 1994which the Ukrainian government had provided in exchange for handing over its nuclear arsenal.
To correct a past error. The famous Memorandum was an international agreement in which Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan They agreed to hand over the nuclear weapons they inherited the disbanded Soviet Union. In return, the United States, the United Kingdom and Russia, mandated that they maintain the sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence of these regions, in addition to refraining from threats or the use of force against them.
This agreement, although not a legally binding treaty, played a crucial role in the nuclear disarmament of Ukraine, which at the time gave Russia the third-largest nuclear arsenal in the world. Time judged the last movement as a failure, and despite the promises, subsequent events questioned its practical validity (the invasion of Crimea, the war in the east of the country or the current Russian invasion).
In short, they provide an example of how international guarantees can fail in practice, with devastating consequences for global security and stability, what Ukraine has already mentioned not to repeat and NATO to “include and protect” it as a legitimate member.
Egelid’s answer. The discussion about this approach is not new and has been discussed in Western circles, but no proposals have ever been formulated. Meanwhile, Zelenskyy is trying to withdraw possible ideas from Donald Trump’s President-designatewho could negotiate the military terms of Moscow’s willingness to help Ukraine.
The Trump’s plans are preliminaryas a front line and differentiating the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO, while Zelenskyy insists on the need for security measures. But there is another problem that is difficult to overcome.
Article 5 Zelenskyy himself hinted that Ukraine might join NATO under the special condition in which article 5 mutual defense does not immediately apply to occupied Russian territories. Reason? The problem is in its essence, because the article establishes it An attack on one member of society is considered an attack on allwhich, in a virtual scenario, would mean that all NATO nations are in direct conflict with Moscow.
So Zelenskyy suggests an invitation to join the entire territory of Ukraine must be recognized as an empireHe owns the occupied territories, but does not receive 5 to those territories by a state of war. A solution that seeks to reduce the risks for NATO members, who undoubtedly seem to reject the invitation to Ukraine to avoid being drawn into the conflict.
Yes, but my targets. It therefore seems very difficult for Ukraine to end up joining NATO in the short term. Europe has many doubts, but not so much when it comes to offering weapons. In fact, the new Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, was encouraged Prioritize the shipment of weapons and military support to Ukraine before they negotiated a peace with Russia.
According to Rutte, Ukraine should be in a position of strength in order to maintain better conditions in the event of an agreement. Despite war fatigue in parts of Europe and US President Donald Trump’s promises of a quick cessation, the company stresses the need. strengthen the defense capabilities of Ukraine.
The war lasted for almost three years; focused on recent weeks. NATO’s status shows the need to maintain military pressure on Russia as Ukraine seeks support to maintain its security. However, the lack of consensus among the partners on the frontline and political tensions in the West pose an uncertain future for Ukraine’s own war and security.
Image | Ministry of Defense of Ukraine
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